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How World Events Can Affect Local Real Estate Prices
Dated: March 2 2022
Views: 159
When we watch the news and see world events, it is perfectly normal and reasonable to be curious about how this will affect us personally. This should not be thought of as selfish, as it does not diminish the empathy we have for those much less fortunate than ourselves but it is natural for us to worry about the well being of ourselves and our families. With the current events unfolding in Eastern Europe, we would like to share some analysis of how this may change our local real estate market.
The Russian invasion of Ukraine is deeply disturbing to see on a number of levels. There has not been a war in Europe since WW2 which was probably the most cataclysmic event of the last century. The recent events while fortunately not at that level of severity, are still causing a massive amount of human suffering and we are highly likely to see some far reaching consequences.
There are two main “levers” linked to the crisis which could directly change our local housing market:
Mortgage Interest Rates - The Federal Reserve (The Fed) had previously signaled an intent to increase interest rates in an effort to control inflation. The global response to Russia’s invasion has been to impose economic sanctions. As Russia is a major player in the global economy (particularly the energy sector) these sanctions are having wide ranging effects on global markets. Increasing interest rates could exacerbate this and cause more serious economic problems. As a result, we may see the Fed take a more cautious approach and delay the planned increases. This would mean home buyers would continue to have increased buying power and the sharp increase in property values could continue.
Market Sentiment - During times of uncertainty, we see people become more cautious. Many people are watching the news, their investment portfolios or retirement accounts and are unsure of how events may play out. As a result it is possible we may see buyers and sellers (either consciously or unconsciously) hold off on making any major decisions. This could cause a slowdown in the market and alter the dynamics of the supply and demand issue that has been the driver for increasing prices.
There are still a lot of unknowns and the phrase “unprecedented times” (which has become all too familiar over the last few years) applies to what we are looking at. We will continue monitoring the situation and provide updates and analysis if and when we see any impact on our local market.
If you have any questions related to this or any other real estate issue, don’t hesitate to reach out to us by call/text (530) 553-8224 or email info@AllisonResidential.com
Nick & Brittney Allison
We are a Husband-Wife real estate team located in Chico and serving the wider Butte County area. As professional full-service Realtors, we are able to assist buyers, sellers and investors at all stage....
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